Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | PENN +130 COLU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +15 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -4.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -2.1 (+17.1) | 151.2 (+19.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -2.1 (+17.1) | 149.0 (+22.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -2.8 (+17.8) | 148.2 (+22.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -3.0 (+18.0) | 149.4 (+21.6) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COLU 84 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 1-13 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#312) | -1.2 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#304) | 0.04 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#290) | -0.16 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#301) | 0.486 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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