Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -130 COLU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -2.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -3.2 (+5.8) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -1.8 (+7.2) | 142.2 (+0.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -2.6 (+6.4) | 144.7 (-1.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -2.1 (+6.9) | 145.4 (-2.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COLU 84 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | -0.6 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#183) | -0.10 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#165) | -0.48 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.515 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.