Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -150 PENN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +5 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -4.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -2.8 (-7.8) | 153.2 (+25.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -3.2 (-8.2) | 151.3 (+27.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.0 (-9.0) | 152.4 (+26.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -3.8 (-8.8) | 152.0 (+27.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | COLU 72 – 67 PENN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COLU 84 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#267) | -7.8 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#249) | -1.56 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#265) | -1.58 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#277) | 0.430 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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