Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -218 PENN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -6.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -4.3 (+0.7) | 150.5 (-11.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -5.0 (-0.0) | 149.7 (-10.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.5 (+0.5) | 149.1 (-10.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -4.8 (+0.2) | 149.9 (-10.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PENN 76 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PENN 92 – 87 COLU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PENN 93 – 78 COLU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PENN 84 – 72 COLU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COLU 84 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | -1.8 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#139) | -0.24 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#161) | -0.05 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#101) | 0.497 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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