Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -11.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -9.5 (-13.5) | 138.7 (-4.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -9.1 (-13.1) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -8.8 (-12.8) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -8.7 (-12.7) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#281) | -14.4 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#248) | -2.73 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#268) | -3.51 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#204) | 0.362 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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