Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HC +100 ARMY -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -3.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -1.7 (-6.7) | 144.0 (+3.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -2.6 (-7.6) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -1.8 (-6.8) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -2.1 (-7.1) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ARMY 59 – 53 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#295) | -7.8 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#226) | -0.75 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#246) | -1.29 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#215) | 0.473 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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