Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | HC +110 ARMY -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +6 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -1.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.3 (-3.7) | 129.0 (-17.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -3.9 (-2.1) | 128.7 (-16.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.3 (-3.7) | 128.5 (-16.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.2 (-3.8) | 129.1 (-17.1) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 59.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#350) | -9.5 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#346) | -2.35 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#352) | -2.68 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#339) | 0.391 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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