Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -200 HC +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -4.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -3.8 (-0.8) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.4 (+0.6) | 140.3 (-7.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.7 (+0.3) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.6 (+0.4) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ARMY 59 – 53 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#288) | -8.6 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#242) | -0.89 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#266) | -1.38 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#220) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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