Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -200 HC +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +16 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -6.7 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.9 (-18.9) | 132.5 (+19.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -3.6 (-19.6) | 132.0 (+20.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.8 (-18.8) | 131.0 (+21.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -3.4 (-19.4) | 131.0 (+21.0) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARMY 69 – 68 HC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ARMY 59 – 53 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-11 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#328) | -14.6 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#345) | -2.55 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#341) | -3.31 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#340) | 0.390 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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