Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -162 HC +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -1.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.8 (+0.2) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.3 (-0.3) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -1.0 (-0.0) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -0.5 (+0.5) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | HC 82 – 75 ARMY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ARMY 68 – 65 HC |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 71 HC |
| Mar 5, 2024 | HC 84 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ARMY 59 – 53 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#334) | -10.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#319) | -1.64 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#328) | -2.29 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#301) | 0.420 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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