Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -11.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -8.9 (+4.9) | 132.9 (+1.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -9.8 (+5.8) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -9.9 (+5.9) | 128.8 (+5.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -10.3 (+6.3) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 0-11 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.0 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -21.4 (#357) | -6.9 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.08 (#356) | -2.01 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.32 (#356) | -2.48 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.338 (#356) | 0.411 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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