Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -1600 MVSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -19.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -14.8 (-13.8) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -14.7 (-13.7) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -14.7 (-13.7) | 135.8 (-0.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -15.3 (-14.3) | 135.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | JKST 77 – 69 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 6-2 | 1-8 |
| Away | 7-13 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#299) | -23.6 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#256) | -4.13 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#280) | -4.97 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#223) | 0.369 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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