Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +2500 JKST -10000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -21.7 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -15.0 (+11.0) | 132.1 (-4.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -13.4 (+9.4) | 131.1 (-3.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -16.2 (+12.2) | 129.8 (-1.8) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -15.1 (+11.1) | 130.8 (-2.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | JKST 77 – 69 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 14-4 |
| Home | 2-9 | 8-1 |
| Away | 1-19 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 52.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -31.6 (#364) | -6.6 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -5.19 (#364) | -0.98 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.76 (#364) | -1.22 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#361) | 0.505 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 61.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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