Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +600 JKST -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -13.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -11.6 (+3.6) | 132.8 (+13.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | JKST -12.0 (+4.0) | 135.1 (+10.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | JKST -11.7 (+3.7) | 134.9 (+11.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -12.2 (+4.2) | 132.8 (+13.2) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | JKST 85 – 77 MVSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JKST 97 – 81 MVSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | JKST 66 – 62 MVSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | JKST 92 – 44 MVSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | JKST 68 – 67 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-30 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 11-7 |
| Home | 1-8 | 6-2 |
| Away | 0-22 | 7-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 55.5 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -24.0 (#363) | -7.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.82 (#363) | -0.85 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.43 (#363) | -1.27 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#360) | 0.456 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.48 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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