Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | COR -1.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -0.3 (+4.7) | 156.2 (+14.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -0.4 (+4.6) | 158.0 (+13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -0.1 (+4.9) | 157.7 (+13.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -0.1 (+4.9) | 154.1 (+16.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Home | 10-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#188) | 1.0 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#161) | 0.93 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#173) | 0.84 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#160) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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