Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | EVAN +285 BRAD -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +35 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -10.4 (-24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -9.9 (-25.1) | 127.6 (-10.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.1 (-24.9) | 130.6 (-13.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.9 (-25.1) | 131.2 (-14.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -10.1 (-24.9) | 130.0 (-13.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BRAD 94 – 90 EVAN |
| Dec 30, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 68 EVAN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | BRAD 80 – 74 EVAN |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EVAN 73 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 50 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#310) | 5.0 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#313) | -0.14 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#306) | 0.03 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#306) | 0.493 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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