Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -15.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -12.1 (-3.1) | 134.1 (+2.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -13.7 (-4.7) | 133.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -13.9 (-4.9) | 133.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -13.3 (-4.3) | 136.1 (+0.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 61.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -12.3 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#192) | -2.26 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#206) | -2.74 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#179) | 0.380 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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