Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -14.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -11.4 (-2.4) | 130.8 (+2.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -11.1 (-2.1) | 129.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -12.1 (-3.1) | 129.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -10.8 (-1.8) | 129.7 (+3.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VCU 71 – 66 DUQ |
| Jan 3, 2026 | VCU 93 – 80 DUQ |
| Mar 5, 2025 | VCU 71 – 62 DUQ |
| Mar 17, 2024 | DUQ 57 – 51 VCU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DUQ 69 – 59 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 1-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 9-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#80) | -4.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#60) | -0.95 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#83) | -0.94 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#40) | 0.443 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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