Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +5 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -2.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -2.1 (+2.9) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -2.5 (+2.5) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -2.3 (+2.7) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -1.9 (+3.1) | 133.3 (-0.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | CCU 72 – 70 TXST |
| Jan 5, 2024 | CCU 71 – 63 TXST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TXST 78 – 75 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-8 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | 0.7 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#119) | 0.08 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#129) | 0.19 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.497 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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