Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +110 TXST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -0.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -0.2 (-2.8) | 136.9 (+16.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -0.2 (-3.2) | 139.9 (+13.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.0 (-3.0) | 141.9 (+11.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -0.3 (-2.7) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | CCU 72 – 70 TXST |
| Jan 5, 2024 | CCU 71 – 63 TXST |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TXST 69 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#284) | -2.1 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#258) | -0.48 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#277) | -0.57 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#268) | 0.476 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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