Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -135 TXST +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -6.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.2 (-0.2) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -3.7 (-1.7) | 139.3 (+2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.7 (-1.7) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -3.5 (-1.5) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2024 | CCU 71 – 63 TXST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TXST 78 – 75 CCU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TXST 69 – 64 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#253) | -8.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#199) | -0.66 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#222) | -1.08 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#195) | 0.442 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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