Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | BRWN -230 DART +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -6.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -3.8 (-1.8) | 135.6 (-13.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -4.6 (-2.6) | 138.3 (-16.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -4.3 (-2.3) | 138.8 (-16.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -4.0 (-2.0) | 139.1 (-17.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | -3.3 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#226) | -1.43 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#212) | -1.36 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#207) | 0.437 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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