Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +25 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -10.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -10.5 (+14.5) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -9.3 (+15.7) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -9.5 (+15.5) | 134.2 (-5.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -9.3 (+15.7) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | MORE 63 – 58 APSU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MORE 61 – 50 APSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MORE 66 – 55 APSU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MORE 75 – 74 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#129) | -5.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#73) | -1.42 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#85) | -1.73 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#73) | 0.442 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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