Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -138 APSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -6.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.3 (-4.3) | 132.3 (+16.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.9 (-4.9) | 133.6 (+15.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.8 (-4.8) | 132.2 (+16.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.3 (-3.3) | 128.0 (+21.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | MORE 63 – 58 APSU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MORE 61 – 50 APSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | MORE 77 – 52 APSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MORE 66 – 55 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#131) | -0.30 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#142) | -0.90 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#103) | 0.482 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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