Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +11 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -4.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.3 (-5.7) | 134.8 (-13.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -6.5 (-4.5) | 141.6 (-20.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.7 (-5.3) | 141.5 (-20.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -5.4 (-5.6) | 130.9 (-9.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | MORE 63 – 58 APSU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | MORE 61 – 50 APSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | MORE 77 – 52 APSU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MORE 75 – 74 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#288) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#292) | 1.16 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#308) | 1.51 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#300) | 0.549 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 11.2% |
Game Analysis
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