Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MORE +100 APSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | APSU -4.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APSU -3.2 (+8.2) | 138.1 (-17.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APSU -3.8 (+8.8) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APSU -2.3 (+7.3) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APSU -3.2 (+8.2) | 135.3 (-14.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | MORE 61 – 50 APSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | MORE 77 – 52 APSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | MORE 66 – 55 APSU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | MORE 75 – 74 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#338) | -0.2 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#289) | 2.42 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#288) | 3.31 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#319) | 0.756 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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