Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -8.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -7.0 (-4.0) | 136.9 (+8.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -7.5 (-3.5) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -7.2 (-3.8) | 138.4 (+6.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -7.1 (-3.9) | 138.1 (+6.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVM 66 – 64 UML |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UVM 77 – 68 UML |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVM 85 – 61 UML |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UVM 67 – 63 UML |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UVM 66 – 61 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 28-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 17-1 |
| Home | 8-6 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#255) | 6.9 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#272) | 1.52 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#284) | 1.84 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#269) | 0.571 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 81.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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