Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UML +164 UVM -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -3.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.8 (-5.2) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -2.7 (-6.3) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.0 (-6.0) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -2.7 (-6.3) | 143.7 (+1.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVM 66 – 64 UML |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVM 85 – 61 UML |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UVM 67 – 63 UML |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UVM 66 – 61 UML |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UVM 74 – 62 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 12-4 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#316) | -3.4 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#312) | -0.46 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#308) | -0.50 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#266) | 0.473 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.