Betting Lines
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | WICH -125 SMU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -0.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -2.4 (+12.6) | 137.7 (-8.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -0.6 (+14.4) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -0.7 (+14.3) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.0 (+14.0) | 137.8 (-8.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2024 | WICH 77 – 72 SMU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | WICH 91 – 89 SMU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WICH 71 – 69 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 6-9 | 13-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#83) | 9.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#113) | 1.78 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#95) | 2.18 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.582 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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