Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -300 SMU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +2 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -8.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+44.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -6.2 (-4.2) | 144.5 (+35.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -6.6 (-4.6) | 143.0 (+37.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -7.1 (-5.1) | 145.0 (+35.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.6 (-4.6) | 145.4 (+34.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2024 | WICH 77 – 72 SMU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WICH 71 – 69 SMU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WICH 72 – 57 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#121) | -1.8 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#157) | -0.44 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#148) | -0.38 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.492 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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