Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +188 SMU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SMU -9.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -7.7 (+12.7) | 142.8 (+6.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -7.3 (+12.3) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SMU -7.7 (+12.7) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -7.7 (+12.7) | 141.9 (+7.1) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | WICH 91 – 89 SMU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WICH 71 – 69 SMU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WICH 72 – 57 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | 12.9 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#188) | 1.29 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#169) | 2.03 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.556 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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