Betting Lines
| Spread | SMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SMU -115 WICH -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SMU -0.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMU -0.9 (-2.9) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMU -0.2 (-2.2) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -0.2 (-1.8) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMU -0.3 (-2.3) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2024 | WICH 77 – 72 SMU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | WICH 91 – 89 SMU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | WICH 72 – 57 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-9 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | 2.4 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#204) | 0.06 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#182) | 0.15 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.499 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.