Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +7 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UND -3.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -3.8 (+3.2) | 152.3 (+24.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -1.8 (+5.2) | 153.9 (+23.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.8 (+5.2) | 154.8 (+22.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -2.8 (+4.2) | 154.5 (+22.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-13 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 84.4 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#346) | -14.7 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.99 (#348) | -2.47 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#354) | -3.30 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#350) | 0.400 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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