Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UND -138 OMA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -0.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -1.8 (-2.8) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.2 (-3.2) | 143.8 (+1.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.7 (-2.7) | 145.7 (-0.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.9 (-2.9) | 145.1 (-0.1) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UND 99 – 78 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#237) | -4.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#225) | -1.23 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#230) | -1.25 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#250) | 0.429 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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