Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -210 UND +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -6.4 (-3.4) | 156.2 (+0.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.4 (-1.4) | 155.2 (+1.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -6.6 (-3.6) | 157.8 (-0.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -6.4 (-3.4) | 157.2 (-0.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UND 99 – 78 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#201) | -6.4 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | -1.27 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#210) | -1.68 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.426 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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