Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -278 UND +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +11 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -6.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -3.6 (+7.4) | 144.6 (+24.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.3 (+6.7) | 145.9 (+23.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -3.6 (+7.4) | 142.2 (+26.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -3.5 (+7.5) | 143.0 (+26.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UND 99 – 78 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#278) | -9.5 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#286) | -1.25 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#289) | -1.82 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#305) | 0.447 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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