Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UND -200 OMA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +10 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | UND -4.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -1.9 (-11.9) | 148.2 (+31.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -2.1 (-12.1) | 146.8 (+33.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -1.3 (-11.3) | 147.6 (+32.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.4 (-11.4) | 150.1 (+29.9) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UND 99 – 78 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 13-3 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#281) | -6.9 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#287) | -1.44 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#291) | -2.03 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#337) | 0.418 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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