It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Summit League · Betty Engelstad Sioux Center · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UND -4.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money UND -200 / OMA +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total UND win
Actual OMA +10 180 Lost
Massey UND -4.2 (-14.2)
Massey Totals 149.7 (+30.3)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 74%
Baseline Plus ML UND -1.3 (-11.3) 147.6 (+32.4) 58%
Model 4 ML UND -2.1 (-12.1) 146.8 (+33.2) 53%
Model 3 ML UND -1.9 (-11.9) 148.2 (+31.8) 62%
Baseline ML UND -1.4 (-11.4) 150.1 (+29.9) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 UND 7673 OMA
Jan 9, 2026 OMA 9079 UND
Feb 7, 2025 OMA 8077 UND
Mar 11, 2024 OMA 7372 UND
Feb 9, 2024 UND 9978 OMA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UND OMA
Overall 12-21 22-13
Conference 5-11 13-3
Home 9-6 11-2
Away 2-12 7-9
Neutral 1-3 4-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 77.0
Avg Pts Against 82.2 76.2
Massey -6.8 (#281) -6.9 (#285)
Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#287) -1.44 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.86 (#291) -2.03 (#298)
RPI 0.398 (#337) 0.418 (#314)
Shooting & Four Factors UND OMA
FG% 40.3% 41.5%
3PT% 31.3% 32.6%
REB / G 38.5 34.2
OREB / G 15.2 10.2
AST / TO 0.80 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.8% 47.9%
TOV% 18.6% 18.2%
ORB% 36.3% 28.1%
FT Rate 20.9% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 54.7%
Opp TOV% 14.8% 16.1%
DRB% 70.8% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 28.1%

Game Analysis

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