Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -11.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -9.2 (-13.2) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -10.1 (-14.1) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -9.9 (-13.9) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -10.0 (-14.0) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#67) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#58) | 0.37 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#57) | 0.64 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#83) | 0.515 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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