Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -450 NIU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -7.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.7 (+17.3) | 152.0 (-0.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -7.6 (+14.4) | 149.6 (+2.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.2 (+17.8) | 150.9 (+1.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.6 (+17.4) | 152.7 (-0.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | BGSU 68 – 52 NIU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BGSU 71 – 58 NIU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BGSU 84 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 72 NIU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NIU 86 – 78 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#241) | -8.3 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#228) | -1.28 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#237) | -1.62 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#234) | 0.446 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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