Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +160 BGSU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -3.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.0 (-9.0) | 145.8 (-16.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.2 (-8.8) | 145.1 (-16.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.7 (-9.3) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.4 (-9.6) | 142.9 (-13.9) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | BGSU 68 – 52 NIU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BGSU 84 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 72 NIU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NIU 86 – 78 BGSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BGSU 87 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#353) | -7.5 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#358) | -1.24 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#355) | -1.92 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#359) | 0.435 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 17.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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