Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +260 BGSU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -7.9 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -6.6 (-9.4) | 141.5 (-21.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -6.3 (-9.7) | 142.1 (-22.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -5.8 (-10.2) | 139.2 (-19.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -5.8 (-10.2) | 141.0 (-21.0) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | BGSU 71 – 58 NIU |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BGSU 84 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 72 NIU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NIU 86 – 78 BGSU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BGSU 87 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#300) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#279) | -0.09 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#293) | -0.01 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#270) | 0.495 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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