Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -3.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -1.7 (-5.7) | 145.9 (-17.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -2.2 (-6.2) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -2.1 (-6.1) | 144.1 (-16.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -2.1 (-6.1) | 147.2 (-19.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2023 | SFBK 70 – 63 SHU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SFBK 82 – 79 SHU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SFBK 71 – 66 SHU |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SHU 88 – 82 SFBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SFBK 88 – 76 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 3-9 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#316) | -10.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#341) | -2.32 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#341) | -2.82 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#336) | 0.391 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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