Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -175 SHU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -1.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.3 (+11.7) | 154.4 (+9.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -1.6 (+10.4) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -1.1 (+10.9) | 156.1 (+7.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.5 (+11.5) | 154.5 (+9.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2023 | SFBK 70 – 63 SHU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SFBK 82 – 79 SHU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 SFBK |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SFBK 71 – 66 SHU |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SHU 88 – 82 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#264) | -4.7 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#193) | 0.29 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#204) | -0.17 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#223) | 0.523 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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