Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -163 SHU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -2.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -2.0 (-8.0) | 155.7 (+14.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -2.4 (-8.4) | 156.0 (+14.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -2.6 (-8.6) | 157.7 (+12.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -2.0 (-8.0) | 156.0 (+14.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2023 | SFBK 70 – 63 SHU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SFBK 82 – 79 SHU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 SFBK |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SFBK 71 – 66 SHU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SFBK 88 – 76 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#255) | -5.4 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#190) | 0.02 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#202) | -0.43 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#203) | 0.506 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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