Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK +110 SHU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -0.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.7 (+3.7) | 135.7 (+25.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SHU -1.5 (+4.5) | 135.6 (+25.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SHU -1.4 (+4.4) | 134.3 (+26.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.8 (+3.8) | 136.0 (+25.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2023 | SFBK 70 – 63 SHU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 SFBK |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SFBK 71 – 66 SHU |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SHU 88 – 82 SFBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SFBK 88 – 76 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#352) | -9.2 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#349) | -1.43 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#354) | -2.00 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#328) | 0.420 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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