We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Northeast Conference · Pope Physical Education Center · January 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHU -1.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money SFBK +110 / SHU -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SFBK win
Actual SFBK +3 161 Won
Massey SHU -0.4 (+3.4) — —
Massey Totals — 136.5 (+24.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -1.4 (+4.4) 134.3 (+26.7) 42% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHU -1.5 (+4.5) 135.6 (+25.4) 43% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SHU -0.7 (+3.7) 135.7 (+25.3) 43% ✗
Baseline ML SHU -0.8 (+3.8) 136.0 (+25.0) 41% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2023 SFBK 70 – 63 SHU
Feb 5, 2022 SHU 66 – 62 SFBK
Jan 28, 2022 SFBK 71 – 66 SHU
Feb 21, 2021 SHU 88 – 82 SFBK
Feb 20, 2021 SFBK 88 – 76 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SFBK SHU
Overall 14-16 16-17
Conference 7-9 8-8
Home 10-5 9-6
Away 4-11 7-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 63.0 69.8
Avg Pts Against 68.3 71.6
Massey -13.6 (#352) -9.2 (#326)
Bradley-Terry -2.47 (#349) -1.43 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.31 (#354) -2.00 (#312)
RPI 0.402 (#328) 0.420 (#310)
Shooting & Four Factors SFBK SHU
FG% 39.1% 41.6%
3PT% 33.2% 30.1%
REB / G 32.4 36.5
OREB / G 10.9 10.5
AST / TO 0.75 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 47.3%
TOV% 21.2% 18.7%
ORB% 30.5% 27.8%
FT Rate 22.3% 17.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 18.4%
DRB% 65.8% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 18.2%

Game Analysis

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