Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -4.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.0 (-8.0) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.4 (-7.4) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.9 (-7.9) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.2 (-8.2) | 147.7 (-10.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2023 | SFBK 70 – 63 SHU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SFBK 82 – 79 SHU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | SHU 66 – 62 SFBK |
| Feb 21, 2021 | SHU 88 – 82 SFBK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | SFBK 88 – 76 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#319) | -10.7 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#318) | -2.80 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#324) | -3.44 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#323) | 0.377 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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