Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -8.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -6.7 (+0.3) | 152.9 (+10.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -7.7 (-0.7) | 155.3 (+7.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -7.8 (-0.8) | 155.7 (+7.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -7.8 (-0.8) | 154.6 (+8.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2022 | HOF 87 – 80 JMU |
| Feb 14, 2021 | JMU 74 – 70 HOF |
| Feb 13, 2021 | JMU 93 – 89 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#118) | -2.3 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#106) | 0.20 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#108) | -0.14 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#62) | 0.508 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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