Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -0.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.1 (-6.9) | 145.5 (+21.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -0.3 (-7.3) | 144.6 (+22.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -0.3 (-6.7) | 146.6 (+20.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.9 (-5.1) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | HOF 85 – 78 JMU |
| Feb 14, 2021 | JMU 74 – 70 HOF |
| Feb 13, 2021 | JMU 93 – 89 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | 4.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#89) | 0.83 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#109) | 1.44 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#77) | 0.571 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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