Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -120 HOF +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +4 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -3.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -3.0 (+1.0) | 144.7 (+37.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -3.4 (+0.6) | 146.8 (+35.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -3.3 (+0.7) | 147.4 (+34.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -3.6 (+0.4) | 147.6 (+34.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | HOF 85 – 78 JMU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | HOF 87 – 80 JMU |
| Feb 14, 2021 | JMU 74 – 70 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#134) | 0.8 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#151) | 0.67 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#156) | 0.58 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#105) | 0.560 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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