Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | JMU +100 HOF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -3.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -3.0 (+1.0) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -3.7 (+0.3) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -3.5 (+0.5) | 149.8 (-5.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -3.9 (+0.1) | 149.9 (-5.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | HOF 85 – 78 JMU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | HOF 87 – 80 JMU |
| Feb 13, 2021 | JMU 93 – 89 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#139) | 0.49 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#154) | 0.40 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#95) | 0.552 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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